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"This is the end result of all the bright lights... and the comp trips, of all the champagne... and free hotel suites,
and all the broads and all the booze. It's all been arranged just for us to get your money.
That's the truth about Las Vegas. We're the only winners. The players don't stand a chance. "

-- Sam "Ace" Rothstein, Casino, 1995

Wednesday, December 21, 2011

Just another day in LV...

Playing low stakes poker and this guy decides to show me a couple of bets he just made.  Yes, he bet $80k on the over for the Poinsettia Bowl tonight in San Diego...


  1. The poor sap not only lost $80K, he probably paid some tout $500 for the pick... hope he did better at poker.

  2. And he was playing LOW-stakes poker?

    What are these tickets quoted at in the marketplace for those who want sports tickets to either win lose or draw, but to "win, lose, draw ... or sell"?

  3. So it was TCU 31, LATech 24.

    How did this "low stakes" guy do?
    The points total 55.

  4. Loser...

    I think his only hope was possibly OT at the end. Had he shopped around he could have got 55 and at least pushed part of the bet. Still sick to bet that much on some stupid low level bowl game where one team (TCU) was probably disinterested in the game.

  5. One more field goal from either team would have won the bet....ouch.

  6. There was one missed FG I think. A kickoff run back for a TD, and a fumbled punt return that led to an easy TD for LA Tech. Reality is that 14 more points were scored from special teams nonsense. The guy was actually lucky to even have hope at the end.

  7. I watched this game. Almost all of it. TCU had a 1st and goal at least once and ended up kicking a field goal. LATech had 1st and goal at least once and ended up kicking a field goal as well.

    I'm amazed, absolutely amazed at how they get these lines so spot on. This is a perfect example - it should have been an easy, easy over, even with all of the f' ups.

    Feel bad for the guy. I'm thinking that would have made his year - considering he plays low stakes poker. Imagine that is much of his bankroll right there.

  8. Feel bad for him also, but he told me won $17k on the SDSU/Lafeyette over. That ending was total BS when that FG attempt got moved up 5yds by that phantom "stemming" call... He got paid by that FG.

    It just shows how the guys that make the numbers are usually spot on. Millions are won and lost weekly on a point or two difference in all sports...

    Only the sharps make money in the long run, and there are not many of them... Just my take.

  9. >shows how the guys that make the numbers are usually spot on.
    So who are the odds makers who set the line?
    Is there any history available as to the line for this game? Did it change rapidly. It must have or he would have bought ONE ticket rather than two.